How will the title race in Ligue 1 end?

24th January 2024

After 17 rounds in Ligue 1 France, the teams went on a short winter break and now is a good time to try to make predictions, taking into account the current position of the teams in the standings. Paris Saint-Germain is in the lead with 40 points from 17 matches. In the Champions League qualification zone are Nice with 35 points, Monaco with 33 points and Brest with 31 points after 17 matches. Europa League qualification is currently available to Lille, which has collected 28 points from 17 matches. In the fight for qualification to the Conference League, Marseille has 27 points after 17 matches. Toulouse are currently in the play-off zone with 14 points. The outsiders in the fight for survival are Lorient with 12 points and Clermont with 11 points.

Bookmakers do not believe that at least one of the Ligue 1 clubs will be able to impose a real fight for the championship of PSG. However, the Parisians themselves are also imperfect, and the team has often lost points this season against weaker teams. At the Pin-Up bookmaker you can place bets on the French Football Championship, the line is wide and there is the opportunity to bet on statistics. The company also operates a casino – https://pin-up-uz.club/casino/ . Let’s try to predict how the championship will end, taking into account the current state of affairs in the table

The competitive battle for the top of the Ligue 1 table has produced an unusual scene reminiscent of a mirage in the desert. Monaco, under Adi Hütter, played their best attacking football, while Nice, under Francesco Farioli, presented a defensive wall of impeccable defence. During this time, Luis Enrique’s PSG, despite moments of failure, still held onto the lead, dropping points in some matches, including the game with Clermont (0-0), and struggling to reveal their true potential.

However, with the arrival of Christmas and the New Year, the Parisian club regained dominance in Ligue 1, with a five-point lead over Nice and a seven-point lead over Monaco, while boasting a much more impressive goal difference (+28 compared to +10 and +11 respectively). PSG suffered only one defeat out of 17 matches in Ligue 1, losing the home match to Nice (2:3), but at the same time defeating Monaco (5:2) and Marseille (4:0) at home , demonstrating his strength.

However, there is still a chance for the pursuers. It is known that PSG can lose concentration at any moment and have problems with concentration, as happened in the match with Lille in mid-December, when the opponent managed to equalize in the 94th minute. In addition, in the second half of the season, the Parisians will play away against their main competitors, including Marseille (in sixth place), Nice, Monaco, and also Lens (seventh place), which was an unpleasant opponent for them last season, finishing second place, losing only one point.

PSG have tough challenges ahead, especially if they progress far in the Champions League (the first leg of the round of 16 against Real Sociedad is scheduled for February 14), while Nice and Monaco must maintain their impeccable form in second half of the season to keep the title race interesting. Avoid stupid points losses, avoid disappointing performances like those against Lorient or Le Havre. Neither of these teams are in European cups, which could help them focus, and the gap isn’t that big at the moment, but there’s no room for error. If we fail, we could be faced with another one-sided fight for the championship.

Forecasts

It’s a feeling we’ve felt before, in this familiar position of a top French club close to capturing another domestic crown. The numbers also bear this out: PSG have a 95.2% chance of winning Ligue 1 and continuing their impressive run. We could see the typical dips in form again in the coming months, especially if Luis Enrique’s side push deeper into the Champions League with a Round of 16 clash against Real Sociedad, who aren’t the toughest opponents.

Against this backdrop, Nice (38.7%) have an advantage over Monaco (28.4%) thanks to their solid defense and 1-0 win over Monaco earlier in the season. They are followed by Lille and Marseille (8.4%), who are looking to overtake Brest’s brilliant start to the season and enter the top 4.

Among the interesting moments of the season, the question is what will happen to Lyon under the leadership of Pierre Sage. Perhaps Lyon is the main sensation of this season in a negative sense. The seven-time French champion spent almost the entire first round in last place, and only with the arrival of a new head coach did things improve for the team and now Lyon has 3 wins in a row. We will give a cautious forecast that Lyon will spend the second half of the season much stronger and will be able to enter the top eight teams in Ligue 1.